Tropical rainforests are often considered to be the “cradles of biodiversity.” Though they cover only about 6% of the Earth’s land surface, they are home to over 50% of global biodiversity. Rainforests also take in massive amounts of carbon dioxide and release oxygen through photosynthesis, which has also given them the nickname “lungs of the planet.” They also store very large amounts of carbon, and so cutting and burning their biomass contributes to global climate change. Many modern medicines are derived from rainforest plants, and several very important food crops originated in the rainforest, including bananas, mangos, chocolate, coffee, and sugar cane.
In order to qualify as a tropical rainforest, an area must receive over 250 centimeters of rainfall each year and have an average temperature above 24 degrees centigrade, as well as never experience frosts. The Amazon rainforest in South America is the largest in the world. The second largest is the Congo in central Africa, and other important rainforests can be found in Central America, the Caribbean, and Southeast Asia. Brazil contains about 40% of the world’s remaining tropical rainforest. Its rainforest covers an area of land about 2/3 the size of the continental United States.
There are countless reasons, both anthropocentric and ecocentric, to value rainforests. But they are one of the most threatened types of ecosystems in the world today. It’s somewhat difficult to estimate how quickly rainforests are being cut down, but estimates range from between 50,000 and 170,000 square kilometers per year. Even the most conservative estimates project that if we keep cutting down rainforests as we are today, within about 100 years there will be none left.
Rainforests are incredibly complex ecosystems, but understanding a few basics about their ecology will help us understand why clear-cutting and fragmentation are such destructive activities for rainforest biodiversity.
High biodiversity in tropical rainforests means that the interrelationships between organisms are very complex. A single tree may house more than 40 different ant species, each of which has a different ecological function and may alter the habitat in distinct and important ways. Ecologists debate about whether systems that have high biodiversity are stable and resilient, like a spider web composed of many strong individual strands, or fragile, like a house of cards. Both metaphors are likely appropriate in some cases. One thing we can be certain of is that it is very difficult in a rainforest system, as in most other ecosystems, to affect just one type of organism. Also, clear cutting one small area may damage hundreds or thousands of established species interactions that reach beyond the cleared area.
Pollination is a challenge for rainforest trees because there are so many different species, unlike forests in the temperate regions that are often dominated by less than a dozen tree species. One solution is for individual trees to grow close together, making pollination simpler, but this can make that species vulnerable to extinction if the one area where it lives is clear cut. Another strategy is to develop a mutualistic relationship with a long-distance pollinator, like a specific bee or hummingbird species. These pollinators develop mental maps of where each tree of a particular species is located and then travel between them on a sort of “trap-line” that allows trees to pollinate each other. One problem is that if a forest is fragmented then these trap-line connections can be disrupted, and so trees can fail to be pollinated and reproduce even if they haven’t been cut.
The quality of rainforest soils is perhaps the most surprising aspect of their ecology. We might expect a lush rainforest to grow from incredibly rich, fertile soils, but actually, the opposite is true. While some rainforest soils that are derived from volcanic ash or from river deposits can be quite fertile, generally rainforest soils are very poor in nutrients and organic matter. Rainforests hold most of their nutrients in their live vegetation, not in the soil. Their soils do not maintain nutrients very well either, which means that existing nutrients quickly “leech” out, being carried away by water as it percolates through the soil. Also, soils in rainforests tend to be acidic, which means that it’s difficult for plants to access even the few existing nutrients. The section on slash and burn agriculture in the previous module describes some of the challenges that farmers face when they attempt to grow crops on tropical rainforest soils, but perhaps the most important lesson is that once a rainforest is cut down and cleared away, very little fertility is left to help a forest regrow.
Many factors contribute to tropical deforestation, but consider this typical set of circumstances and processes that result in rapid and unsustainable rates of deforestation. This story fits well with the historical experience of Brazil and other countries with territory in the Amazon Basin.
Population growth and poverty encourage poor farmers to clear new areas of rainforest, and their efforts are further exacerbated by government policies that permit landless peasants to establish legal title to land that they have cleared.
At the same time, international lending institutions like the World Bank provide money to the national government for large-scale projects like mining, construction of dams, new roads, and other infrastructure that directly reduces the forest or makes it easier for farmers to access new areas to clear.
The activities most often encouraging new road development are timber harvesting and mining. Loggers cut out the best timber for domestic use or export, and in the process knock over many other less valuable trees. Those trees are eventually cleared and used for wood pulp, or burned, and the area is converted into cattle pastures. After a few years, the vegetation is sufficiently degraded to make it not profitable to raise cattle, and the land is sold to poor farmers seeking out a subsistence living.
Regardless of how poor farmers get their land, they often are only able to gain a few years of decent crop yields before the poor quality of the soil overwhelms their efforts, and then they are forced to move on to another plot of land. Small-scale farmers also hunt for meat in the remaining fragmented forest areas, which reduces the biodiversity in those areas as well.
Another important factor not mentioned in the scenario above is the clearing of rainforest for industrial agriculture plantations of bananas, pineapples, and sugar cane. These crops are primarily grown for export, and so an additional driver to consider is consumer demand for these crops in countries like the United States.
These cycles of land use, which are driven by poverty and population growth as well as government policies, have led to the rapid loss of tropical rainforests. What is lost in many cases is not simply biodiversity, but also valuable renewable resources that could sustain many generations of humans to come. Efforts to protect rainforests and other areas of high biodiversity is the topic of the next section.
The Amazon is the largest tropical rainforest on Earth. It sits within the Amazon River basin, covers some 40% of the South American continent and as you can see on the map below includes parts of eight South American countries: Brazil, Bolivia, Peru, Ecuador, Colombia, Venezuela, Guyana, and Suriname. The actual word “Amazon” comes from river.
Amazing Amazon facts; • It is home to 1000 species of bird and 60,000 species of plants • 10 million species of insects live in the Amazon • It is home to 20 million people, who use the wood, cut down trees for farms and for cattle. • It covers 2.1 million square miles of land • The Amazon is home to almost 20% of species on Earth • The UK and Ireland would fit into the Amazon 17 times!
The Amazon caught the public’s attention in the 1980s when a series of shocking news reports said that an area of rainforest the size of Belgium was being cut down and subsequently burnt every year. This deforestation has continued to the present day according to the Sao Paulo Space Research Centre. In 2005 they had lost 17% of Amazon rainforest or 650000 square kilometres. Their satellite data is also showing increased deforestation in parts of the Amazon. The process of deforestation The Amazon helps a Newly Emerging Economy(NEE), Brazil, to make money. They build roads into the forest, logging firms then go in and take out valuable hard woods such as mahogany and cedar, worth thousands of pounds in richer economies like Europe. Then farmers, often cattle ranchers from big companies, burn the rest to make way for cattle pasture. 75% of cleared areas are used in this way. This is clearly shown on the map on figure 22 in red. Many of the deforested areas follow roads and branch off from there. Deforestation is also worse in the South and South East of the Amazon basin, closer to major centres of population in Brazil.
© WWF Source Used with permission.
The causes of deforestation 1. Subsistence and commercial farming – subsistence farming is where poor farmers occupy plots of the forest to grow food to feed themselves and their families. They clear forest and then burn it, hence the name slash and burn. They grow crops until the soil is exhausted and then move on. This contributes to deforestation but not as much as commercial farming (Farming to sell produce for a profit to retailers or food processing companies). The Brazilian region of Mato Grosso was affected by deforestation in the 1980s and 1990s. 43% of rainforest losses were in this region, and area almost ½ the size of France. It has been replaced by fields for grain and cattle. This has allowed Brazil to overtake Australia as the largest exporter of beef in the world. The land is also flat and easy to farm. It also has high temperatures and lots of rainfall.
2. Logging – This involves cutting down trees for sale as timber or pulp. The timber is used to build homes, furniture, etc. and the pulp is used to make paper and paper products. Logging can be either selective or clear cutting. Selective logging is selective because loggers choose only wood that is highly valued, such as mahogany. Clear-cutting is not selective. Loggers are interested in all types of wood and therefore cut all of the trees down, thus clearing the forest, hence the name- clear-cutting.
3. Road building – trees are also clear for roads. Roads are an essential way for the Brazilian government to allow development of the Amazon rainforest. However, unless they are paved many of the roads are unusable during the wettest periods of the year. The Trans Amazonian Highway has already opened up large parts of the forest and now a new road is going to be paved, the BR163 is a road that runs 1700km from Cuiaba to Santarem. The government planned to tarmac it making it a superhighway. This would make the untouched forest along the route more accessible and under threat from development.
4. Mineral extraction – forests are also cleared to make way for huge mines. The Brazilian part of the Amazon has mines that extract iron, manganese, nickel, tin, bauxite, beryllium, copper, lead, tungsten, zinc and gold!
The Belo Monte dam site under construction, copyright Used with the kind permission of Phil Clarke-Hill - His website is amazing, click here to see it.
5. Energy development – This has focussed mainly on using Hydro Electric Power, and there are 150 new dams planned for the Amazon alone. The dams create electricity as water is passed through huge pipes within them, where it turns a turbine which helps to generate the electricity. The power in the Amazon is often used for mining. Dams displace many people and the reservoirs they create flood large area of land, which would previously have been forest. They also alter the hydrological cycle and trap huge quantities of sediment behind them. The huge Belo Monte dam started operating in April 2016 and will generate over 11,000 Mw of power. A new scheme the 8,000-megawatt São Luiz do Tapajós dam has been held up because of the concerns over the impacts on the local Munduruku people.
6. Settlement & population growth – populations are growing within the Amazon forest and along with them settlements. Many people are migrating to the forest looking for work associated with the natural wealth of this environment. Settlements like Parauapebas, an iron ore mining town, have grown rapidly, destroying forest and replacing it with a swath of shanty towns. The population has grown from 154,000 in 2010 to 220,000 in 2012. The Brazilian Amazon’s population grew by a massive 23% between 2000 and 2010, 11% above the national average.
Impacts of deforestation – economic development, soil erosion, contribution to climate change. • Every time forest is cleared species are lost – so we lose BIODIVERSITY • Climate Change - Burning the forest releases greenhouse gasses like CO2. This contributes to the warming of our planet via climate change and global warming. In addition, the loss of trees prevents CO2 being absorbed, making the problem worse. The Amazon also helps to drive the global atmospheric system. There is a lot of rainfall there and changes to the Amazon could disrupt the global system. • Economic development – Brazil has used the forests as a way to develop their country. The forest has many natural riches that can be exploited. In addition, Brazil has huge foreign debt and lots of poor people to feed, so they want to develop the forest. May Brazilians see deforestation as a way to help develop their country and improve people’s standard of living. • Soil erosion - the soils of the Amazon forest are not fertile and are quickly exhausted once the forest is cleared. The farmers now artificially fertilise the soil when in the past the nutrient cycle would have done this naturally. In addition, the lack of forest cover means that soils are exposed to the rainfall. This washes huge amounts of soil into rivers in the process of soil erosion.
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Hydraulic redistribution (HR) refers to the process of soil water transport through the low-resistance pathway provided by plant roots. It has been observed in field studies and proposed to be one of the processes that enable plants to resist water limitations. However, most land-surface models (LSMs) currently do not include this underground root process. In this study, a HR scheme was incorporated into the Community Land Model version 4.5 (CLM4.5) to investigate the effect of HR on the eco-hydrological cycle. Two paired numerical simulations (with and without the new HR scheme) were conducted for the Tapajos National Forest km83 (BRSa3) site and the Amazon. Simulations for the BRSa3 site in the Amazon showed that HR during the wet season was small, <0.1 mm day –1 , transferring water from shallow wet layers to deep dry layers at night; however, HR in the dry season was more obvious, up to 0.3 mm day –1 , transferring water from deep wet layers to shallow dry layers at night. By incorporating HR into CLM4.5, the new model increased gross primary production (GPP) and evapotranspiration (ET) by 10% and 15%, respectively, at the BRSa3 site, partly overcoming the underestimation. For the Amazon, regional analysis also revealed that vegetation responses (including GPP and ET) to seasonal drought and the severe drought of 2005 were better captured with the HR scheme incorporated.
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This work was supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China (Grant No. 2016YFA0600203), the Key Research Program of Frontier Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No. QYZDY-SSW-DQC012), and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 41575096).
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Beijing Meteorological Observatory, Beijing, 100089, China
Yuanyuan Wang
State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100029, China
Yuanyuan Wang, Binghao Jia & Zhenghui Xie
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Wang, Y., Jia, B. & Xie, Z. Impacts of hydraulic redistribution on eco-hydrological cycles: A case study over the Amazon basin. Sci. China Earth Sci. 61 , 1330–1340 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11430-017-9219-5
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Received : 06 December 2017
Revised : 03 March 2018
Accepted : 16 May 2018
Published : 18 July 2018
Issue Date : September 2018
DOI : https://doi.org/10.1007/s11430-017-9219-5
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Amazon Basin Facts
Basin Area: 5856696 5,856,696 km² 2,260,684.656 mi² km 2 Average Discharge: 193020962.967 193,020,962.967 m³/s 6,816,470,973.293 cfs 6,091,162.528 km³/y m 3 /s Type: watershed or basin , river or creek Includes Riparians: Bolivia ; Brazil ; Colombia ; Ecuador ; Guyana ; French Guiana ; Peru ; Suriname ; Venezuela ; [1] view/browse all article properties
The Amazon Basin is located in South America.
Articles linked to amazon basin [ edit ].
Riparians | Water Features |
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Located in this basin- Other - |
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0.91 million910,100 people | 366,819 km²141,629.608 mi² | 0 km²0 mi² | 2,820,321 m³/s99,598,696.102 cfs 89,000.87 km³/y | |
6.337 million6,337,000 people | 703,423 km²271,593.139 mi² | 0 km²0 mi² | ||
0.0017 million1,700 people | 1,566 km²604.636 mi² | 0 km²0 mi² | 95.067 m³/s3,357.259 cfs 3 km³/y | |
0 million0 people | 139 km²53.668 mi² | 0 km²0 mi² | 0 m³/s0 cfs 0 km³/y | |
1.515 million1,515,000 people | 123,295 km²47,604.466 mi² | 7,400 km²2,857.156 mi² | 95,067 m³/s3,357,259.419 cfs 3,000.029 km³/y | |
7.968 million7,968,000 people | 3,654,439 km²1,410,986.786 mi² | 0 km²0 mi² | 184,651,803 m³/s6,520,916,878.499 cfs 5,827,056.947 km³/y | |
0.0042 million4,200 people | 40,329 km²15,571.114 mi² | 0 km²0 mi² | 31,689 m³/s1,119,086.473 cfs 1,000.01 km³/y | |
9.295 million9,295,000 people | 951,855 km²367,513.27 mi² | 19,000 km²7,335.941 mi² | 5,418,819 m³/s191,363,786.893 cfs 171,001.671 km³/y | |
0.0181 million18,100 people | 14,831 km²5,726.281 mi² | 0 km²0 mi² | 3,168.9 m³/s111,908.647 cfs 100.001 km³/y |
193,020,962.967 m³/s (6,816,470,973.293 cfs, 6,091,162.528 km³/y) | |
5,856,696 km² (2,260,684.656 mi²) | |
South America | |
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As is true for the entire Amazon region, the Ecuadorian Amazon region has undergone different phases of colonisation. This has created land and territorial conflict between settlers from the highlands, and indigenous peoples of the Amazon region. Meanwhile, rising interest for productive land and other natural resources, as well as development plans on the national scale, have further fueled conflict. The tensions between families of the Shuar people and settlers over access to land in the Province of Morona Santiago, Ecuador shows how current infrastructure projects in the Amazon region worsen the conflicts generated during homesteading settlement and reflect the complexity of resolving them in intercultural contexts.
Conflict history.
By the early 1970s, approximately 43,000 agricultural colonists from the highlands had moved to the Ecuadorian Amazon Basin, also known as the Oriente, in a state-led effort to integrate the Oriente through settlement. Most migrants settled in Morona Santiago and Zamora Chinchipe in the southern region, where direct routes to Cuenca and Loja in the nearby highlands existed ( Southgate et al. 2009 ). This homesteading changed the social and political structure of the Amazon region and led in some cases to peaceful coexistence, to violence in others, between different ethnic and cultural groups. Meanwhile, the biodiversity of the Amazon Basin - which covers 44% of the land area of the South American continent - is threatened by deforestation, changes in the hydrologic circle associated with changes in the global climate and water pollution ( OAS 2005 ).
Two decades ago, farmers settled in the parish of Shaimi, who formed the Puma Association (ASOPUMA, some 80 members) and got property titles. In the parish of Shaimi, up to 2008 the farmers and Shuar people lived peacefully together. The conflict began when, starting in 2011, there were the first irregular Shuar settlements in the urban zone of the parish. The four Shuar families involved were demanding their right to settle that land, because they felt that the land distribution done during colonisation times was illegal, and they never received the payment that had been agreed to at the time. There is no documentary support to confirm or contradict their version.
This conflict developed in the context of rising speculative land values in the urban zone of the parish, because the Méndez – Morona highway linking the parish with the urban centers of the Province was completed. There were also rumors that a port was to be built, with the idea of making a connection by river and overland between Ecuador’s Pacific Ocean port of Manta with Manaus in Brazil, and from there to the Atlantic coast of South America. This strategic project is part of the Initiative to Integrate South American Regional Infrastructure (IIRSA) which includes improving regional transport, energy and telecommunications infrastructure.
Beginning in 2012, Shuar families made new squatting settlements, denouncing illegal tenure and ownership of the land in the Shaimi sector, arguing that they had ancestral rights to the territory. These families squatted on several farms, leading to verbal and physical aggression and death threats between the two population groups. In May 2012, the conflict increased, resulting in the death of a youth. This caused more mistrust and an environment of insecurity. For the first time, regular police and army stations were set up.
Because of the scale of the conflict, an Inter-Ministry Commission intervened, led at the time by the Ministry to Coordinate Policy, and later by the Ministry of the Interior, the National Secretariat to Manage Policy and the Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock, Aquaculture and Fishing (MAGAP) of the Province, to help organise urban planning under the leadership of the Municipality of Tiwintza, to legalise land tenure, help validate their Intercultural Life Plan, and establish lasting order.
A conflict mediation committee was formed with the Shuar representative (President of the Interprovincial Federation of Shuar Centers - FICSH), the Municipality of Tiwintza, and three societal leaders. Under the mediating committee, the parties prepared different proposals but no agreement was reached among the stakeholders in the conflict. Therefore, the Inter-Ministry Commission and FICSH prepared a proposal for final resolution, which was presented in July and August 2014. This proposal was based on the findings of the report on land tenure in the area, prepared by the MAGAP Conflict Management Unit, which had gathered information since mid-2012 and updated it to June 2014; and proceedings from the dialogues which had lasted nine months (17 December 2013 to 02 September 2014). This proposal recognised titles to 38 properties (26 farmer families and two Shuar families) and proposed to grant the other eight properties to the Shuar people, totaling 1772 hectares, which were basically land with no owner and no one in possession; or lots that the mestizos had allegedly abandoned.
The Shuar families' rejection of the proposed agreement
The farmers accepted the proposal in writing. The Shuar families rejected it and have stated that they would sign a peace and coexistence agreement when the ownership titles by the farmers for properties where the Shuars are currently settled have been canceled. In view of this situation, the Governor's Office, on behalf of the Inter-Ministry Commission, has stated that this proposal had already been analyzed by government agencies and is not sustainable, and anyway it would require a series of legal actions that would require time. In this context, government institutions – members of the Inter-Ministry Commission – have exhausted all administrative options for dialogue, concluded their intervention, and will let any other administrative or judicial bodies take over and resolve these disagreements.
Mediation & arbitration.
Several mediation attempts were made by way of a conflict mediation committee, which included representatives from all stakeholder groups, as well as an Inter-Ministry Commission tasked with preparing a proposal for final resolution. However, these interventions have failed to resolve the disagreements between the farmers and the Shuar families. The Inter-Ministry Commission has concluded its mediation efforts.
Shuar families have been represented in dialogues by the President of the Interprovincial Federation of Shuar Centers (FICSH) and have had an opportunity to present their own proposals for review. The latest proposed agreement prepared jointly by the Inter-Ministry Commission and FICSH granted eight properties (1772 hectares) to the Shuar people. Nonetheless, the Shuar families have rejected this proposal and are demanding rights to land where they are currently settled.
Jannis m. hoch, arjen v. haag, arthur van dam, hessel c. winsemius, ludovicus p. h. van beek, marc f. p. bierkens.
Abstract. Large-scale flood events often show spatial correlation in neighbouring basins, and thus can affect adjacent basins simultaneously, as well as result in superposition of different flood peaks. Such flood events therefore need to be addressed with large-scale modelling approaches to capture these processes. Many approaches currently in place are based on either a hydrologic or a hydrodynamic model. However, the resulting lack of interaction between hydrology and hydrodynamics, for instance, by implementing groundwater infiltration on inundated floodplains, can hamper modelled inundation and discharge results where such interactions are important. In this study, the global hydrologic model PCR-GLOBWB at 30 arcmin spatial resolution was one-directionally and spatially coupled with the hydrodynamic model Delft 3D Flexible Mesh (FM) for the Amazon River basin at a grid-by-grid basis and at a daily time step. The use of a flexible unstructured mesh allows for fine-scale representation of channels and floodplains, while preserving a coarser spatial resolution for less flood-prone areas, thus not unnecessarily increasing computational costs. In addition, we assessed the difference between a 1-D channel/2-D floodplain and a 2-D schematization in Delft 3D FM. Validating modelled discharge results shows that coupling PCR-GLOBWB to a hydrodynamic routing scheme generally increases model performance compared to using a hydrodynamic or hydrologic model only for all validation parameters applied. Closer examination shows that the 1-D/2-D schematization outperforms 2-D for r 2 and root mean square error (RMSE) whilst having a lower Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE). We also found that spatial coupling has the significant advantage of a better representation of inundation at smaller streams throughout the model domain. A validation of simulated inundation extent revealed that only those set-ups incorporating 1-D channels are capable of representing inundations for reaches below the spatial resolution of the 2-D mesh. Implementing 1-D channels is therefore particularly of advantage for large-scale inundation models, as they are often built upon remotely sensed surface elevation data which often enclose a strong vertical bias, hampering downstream connectivity. Since only a one-directional coupling approach was tested, and therefore important feedback processes are not incorporated, simulated discharge and inundation extent for both coupled set-ups is generally overpredicted. Hence, it will be the subsequent step to extend it to a two-directional coupling scheme to obtain a closed feedback loop between hydrologic and hydrodynamic processes. The current findings demonstrating the potential of one-directionally and spatially coupled models to obtain improved discharge estimates form an important step towards a large-scale inundation model with a full dynamic coupling between hydrology and hydrodynamics.
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Amazonia contains the most extensive tropical forests on Earth, but Amazon carbon sinks of atmospheric CO 2 are declining, as deforestation and climate-change-associated droughts 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 threaten to push these forests past a tipping point towards collapse 5 , 6 , 7 , 8 . Forests exhibit complex drought responses, indicating both resilience (photosynthetic greening) and vulnerability (browning and tree mortality), that are difficult to explain by climate variation alone 9 , 10 , 11 , 12 , 13 , 14 , 15 , 16 , 17 . Here we combine remotely sensed photosynthetic indices with ground-measured tree demography to identify mechanisms underlying drought resilience/vulnerability in different intact forest ecotopes 18 , 19 (defined by water-table depth, soil fertility and texture, and vegetation characteristics). In higher-fertility southern Amazonia, drought response was structured by water-table depth, with resilient greening in shallow-water-table forests (where greater water availability heightened response to excess sunlight), contrasting with vulnerability (browning and excess tree mortality) over deeper water tables. Notably, the resilience of shallow-water-table forest weakened as drought lengthened. By contrast, lower-fertility northern Amazonia, with slower-growing but hardier trees (or, alternatively, tall forests, with deep-rooted water access), supported more-drought-resilient forests independent of water-table depth. This functional biogeography of drought response provides a framework for conservation decisions and improved predictions of heterogeneous forest responses to future climate changes, warning that Amazonia’s most productive forests are also at greatest risk, and that longer/more frequent droughts are undermining multiple ecohydrological strategies and capacities for Amazon forest resilience.
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Data availability.
All remote sensing data and products (vegetation/photosynthetic indices ( https://lpdaac.usgs.gov/products/mcd19a3v006/ , http://data.globalecology.unh.edu/data/GOSIF_v2 ), climate variables ( https://disc2.gesdisc.eosdis.nasa.gov/data/TRMM_L3/TRMM_3B43.7/ , https://goldsmr4.gesdisc.eosdis.nasa.gov/data/MERRA2_MONTHLY/M2TMNXRAD.5.12.4/ , https://airs.jpl.nasa.gov/data/get-data/standard-data/ ), land cover ( https://lpdaac.usgs.gov/products/mcd12q1v006/ , https://forobs.jrc.ec.europa.eu/TMF ), tree characteristics (canopy height, https://webmap.ornl.gov/ogc/dataset.jsp?dg_id=10023_1 ) and soil texture ( https://maps.isric.org/ )) are publicly available online. The ground-based demographic validation data are publicly available in refs. 2 , 26 . The ground-based hydraulic trait validation data are publicly available in ref. 50 . The HAND data are from ref. 25 , which derived them from the digital elevation model from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission. The soil fertility data are available in ref. 43 .
Code for reproducing the modelling analysis and figures is posted at Code Ocean ( https://codeocean.com/capsule/2432086/tree ).
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We thank J. Schietti for early discussions of the idea that remote sensing might be used to investigate the effect of water-table depth on forest drought response; T. R. Sousa for sharing and discussing plot-based forest demographic data (from along the BR-319 road) 26 ; G. Zuquim for sharing an early version of mapped basin-wide soil fertility data 43 ; H. ter Steege for sharing mapped basin-wide tree characteristics data 34 ; T. R. Sousa and J. Schietti for comments on an earlier version of the manuscript; L. Alves for advice on forest demography plots; R. Palacios for recommending the use of GAM models; M. N. Garcia for discussions about soil fertility; N. Boers for advice on the South American monsoon system; T. C. Taylor and V. Ivanov for discussions; J. Cronin and S. McMahon for detailed advice and comments; and S.C.’s doctoral dissertation committee members W. K. Smith, J. Hu and B. Enquist for constructive criticism and advice on the direction of this work. This work was supported by US National Aeronautics and Space Administration, fellowship 80NSSC19K1376 (S.C.); US National Science Foundation, DEB grant 1950080 (S.C.S. and M.N.S.); US National Science Foundation, DEB grant 2015832 (S.R.S.); US National Science Foundation, DEB grant 1754803 (S.R.S., N.R.-C.), US National Science Foundation, DEB grant 1754357 (S.C.S.); Brazil National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq) scholarships 371626/2022-6, 372734/2021-9,381711/2020-0 (D.d.J.A.); and US Department of Energy’s Next Generation Ecosystem Experiments-Tropics (R.C.-T.).
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Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA
Shuli Chen, Natalia Restrepo-Coupe, Hongseok Ko & Scott R. Saleska
Department of Forestry, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA
Scott C. Stark & Marielle N. Smith
National Institute for Space Research (INPE), São José dos Campos, Brazil
Antonio Donato Nobre
National Center for Monitoring and Early Warning of Natural Disasters (CEMADEN), São José dos Campos, Brazil
Luz Adriana Cuartas & Diogo de Jesus Amore
Cupoazu LLC, Etobicoke, Ontario, Canada
Natalia Restrepo-Coupe
School of Environmental and Natural Sciences, College of Science and Engineering, Bangor University, Bangor, UK
Marielle N. Smith
Los Alamos National Laboratory, Earth and Environmental Sciences, Los Alamos, NM, USA
Rutuja Chitra-Tarak
Brazil’s National Institute for Amazon Research (INPA), Manaus, Brazil
Bruce W. Nelson
Department of Environmental Sciences, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA
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S.C. and S.R.S. designed the analysis, based on early conception by A.D.N. and S.R.S., and on funded proposals to investigate ‘the other side of tropical forest drought’ led by S.C.S., M.N.S. and S.R.S. (from NSF) and by S.C. and S.R.S. (from NASA). A.D.N., L.A.C. and D.d.J.A. updated their HAND data product and interpreted it for this analysis. B.W.N. and N.R.-C. contributed remote-sensing expertise and analysis. R.C.-T. contributed statistical modelling expertise and analysis. H.K. contributed code, especially for the variogram analysis. S.C. organized the datasets (with assistance from N.R.-C.), conducted the analysis and wrote the initial draft. S.C., S.R.S. and S.C.S. revised the draft. All of the authors contributed to writing the final version.
Correspondence to Shuli Chen or Scott R. Saleska .
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The authors declare no competing interests.
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Extended data fig. 1 drought maps 2005, 2010 and 2015/16 droughts and gosif-based forest responses droughts..
(a)-(c): Maximum cumulative water deficit (MCWD) standardized anomalies. (relative to the long term mean MCWD across years, blue=positive, orange=negative) during drought for ( a ) 2005, ( b ) 2010, and ( c ) 2015 droughts. MCWD is calculated (see Methods, ‘Climate variables’) as the maximum water deficit reached for each hydrologic year (from May of the nominal year to the following April). The “drought region” is defined as pixels whose MCWD anomaly is more than one SD below the mean (light orange to red). (d)-(f): GOSIF-based forest response to droughts . GOSIF anomalies during drought, relative to the long term mean GOSIF (green=positive, orange=negative) in drought regions for the ( d ) 2005, ( e ) 2010 and ( f ) 2015 droughts, respectively. ( g ) EVI (left axis) and GOSIF (right axis) anomalies in the 2005 drought elliptical region (as depicted in Figs. 1a , 2a , and here in Extended Data Fig. 1d ) show consistent patterns versus HAND (bin averages ±95% CI, with N = 6,547 5-km pixels for both EVI and GOSIF); ( h ) GOSIF anomalies (bin averages points ±95% CI and solid regression line) vs. water-table depths (indexed by HAND) support hypothesis 1 (with negative slopes, consistent with EVI in Fig. 3a ) for the 2005 (green, slope = −0.016 ± 0.006 SE m −1 ), 2010 (purple, slope = −0.012 ± 0.003 SE m −1 ), and 2015 (blue, slope = −0.010 ± 0.003 SE m −1 ) droughts, paired with HAND distributions in each drought region (bottom graphs, right axis, with N = 34,980, 30,004, 43,475 5-km pixels for 2005, 2010, and 2015 droughts, respectively).
( a ) Height Above Nearest Drainage (HAND), a proxy for water-table depth 25 ; ( b ) Soil fertility, as exchangeable base cation concentrations 43 ; ( c ) Average forest heights as acquired by lidar 45 ; ( d ) Soil sand content 44 ; ( e ) Proportion of trees belonging to the Fabaceae family 34 ; ( f ) MCWD variability (see the ‘Climate anomalies for drought definition and mapping’ section of methods ), in terms of the standard deviation of the long-term MCWD timeseries. High variance in climate and low soil fertility in Guiana shield might contribute to the greatest proportion of trees belonging to the family Fabaceae with the very high wood density; ( g ) Averaged minimum monthly precipitation (low=green, high=orange). The north-west everwet Amazon is distinguished by lacking a dry season (precipitation exceeds evapotranspiration). ( h ) Community-weighted wood density 34 . Panels a-d are used as ecotope predictors in the GAM analysis of Supplementary Table 1 . (Data sources: see the ‘Climate variables’ and ‘Climate anomalies for drought definition and mapping’ sections of methods ).
a – i , Spatial distributions of climate dynamics in the 2005 (left column), 2010 (middle column) and 2015 (right column) droughts for: (a)-(i): Drought dynamics showing drought onset date (row 1, a-c), drought end date (row 2, d-f), and drought duration (row 3, g-i, end date minus start date). Pixel-by-pixel drought responses (EVI in Figs. 1 – 4 ; or GOSIF in Extended Data Figs. 1 & 5 ) are taken as the standardized anomalies that occur during the pixel-specific drought period defined here. (j)-(r): climatic anomalies of: photosynthetic active radiation (PAR) (row 4, j-l), vapor pressure deficit (VPD) (row 5, m-o), and precipitation (row 6, p-r). precipitation (Data source: see the ‘Climate variables’ section of methods ).
that emerge from a principal components analysis (PCA) followed by classification: ( a ) PCA of the Amazon basin 0.4° x 0.4° pixel data (coloured according to a supervised classification into three classes identified by variance minimization), projected onto their first two principal components, which are composed mainly of three dimensions, one defined by wood density and proportions of the family Fabaceae (first principal component, horizontal axis), one defined by minimum monthly precipitation and MCWD variability (second principal component, vertical axis), and a third defined mainly by soil fertility; the classes are significantly separated in PCA space (psuedo-F ratio =950, df=2, 3805, p ~ 0, permanova test); ( b ) The Amazon pixels coloured according to their class (corresponding to the colours in a), showing that the classification of (a) maps pixels into distinct, mostly contiguous spatial regions.) ( c ) Standardized values, for each region, of each group of characteristics (ordered by water availability, soil fertility, and tree traits/characteristics), illustrate distinct regional niches: the everwet Amazon is highest in minimum precipitation and lowest (highest negative) in MCWD variability; the Southern Amazon is moderately high in mean fertility, and the Guiana Shield has the tallest mean forest height and greatest wood density. ( d ) scree plot of the eigenvalues (principal components) of the PCA shown in (a), plotted in rank order.
Amazon forest EVI (top row) and GOSIF (bottom row) responses to multiple droughts in the Guiana shield (left column) and the ever-wet northwest (right column). These generally do not support the “other side of drought” hypothesis 1, because they show generally consistently positive slopes with water-table depth (HAND), in contrast to negative slope responses in the Southern Amazon (Fig. 3a ). Plots show observations (bin average points ±95% CI, and solid regression lines) and unified multi-drought GAM predictions (±95% CI shaded region, for models in Supplementary Table 1b, c ), with climate fixed to region-wide median drought conditions for each drought.) Observations for EVI (a-b): N = 83 and 666 0.4° pixels for 2005 and 2015 droughts respectively, in the Guiana shield (a), and N = 147, 368, and 648 for 2005, 2010 and 2015 droughts respectively in the ever-wet Amazon (b). Observations for GOSIF (c-d): N = 1876, and 25,460 5-km pixels for 2005 and 2015 droughts, respectively, in Guiana shield (c), and N = 1,914, 8,261, and 19,918 for 2005, 2010 and 2015 droughts, respectively, in the ever-wet Amazon (d). Purple points (2010) are not shown in panels a,c, because the 2010 drought did not significantly affect the Guiana shield.
a – d , Development of a Directed acyclic graph (DAG) representing the structure of factors influencing tropical forest responses to drought. ( a ) Initially hypothesized DAG characterizing the causal relationships among climatic, environmental, and forest variables (measured variables depicted as blue nodes, unmeasured rooting depth is depicted in grey) leading to forest drought response (other colour node), with arrows representing the hypothesized causal links. ( b ) DAG-data consistency tests for initial DAG , with the largest 20 approximated non-linear correlation coefficients (estimated via root mean square error of approximation, RMSEA) between unlinked variables in (a). (Note: unlinked variables in a DAG are hypothesized to have zero correlation or zero conditional correlation; thus, the second row of panel b tests “DR_ | | _DSL | DL” -- whether DR is independent of DSL conditioned on DL, by estimating the non-linear correlation between DR and the residuals of DSL regressed on DL.) Correlations greater than an acceptability threshold (dashed vertical lines at ±0.30) fail the test of conditional independence, addressed by adding to the DAG either a direct causal link (indicated by a green symbol), or links to a common cause (pink symbol) (such added arrows are included in panel c). ( c ) Final DAG after correcting for conditional independency inconsistencies of the initial DAG in A, in light of ecological considerations. Also illustrates use of the backdoor criterion to determine the causal effect of ‘drought length (DL)’ (the exposed predictor node and associated forward causal paths, in green) on forest drought response (corresponding to the model in Extended Data Fig. 10c ), while blocking the confounding variable dry season length, DSL (hypothesized to itself affect DL) and its associated causal backdoor paths (which are considered non-causal paths with respect to the exposed variable DL) (in pink). ( d ) DAG-Data consistency tests for final DAG (panel c), showing the largest 20 RMSEA values. (e)-(j): GAM regression model predictions (±95% CI shaded region) of causal effects of different variables derived from DAG, employing backdoor criterion, for the Southern Amazon, average across all three droughts: ( e ) of HAND (no backdoor to be blocked) (f) of PAR (adjusting for back door paths through drought length, dry season length) ( g ) of Drought length (adjusting for back door path through dry season length) on EVI responses (adjusted EVI prediction) ; the whole Amazon basin during the 2015 drought: ( h ) of forest height, categorized by shallow (blue, HAND = 0-10 m) and deep (red, HAND = 20–40 m) water tables (adjusting for back door paths through soil fertility, soil texture and dry season length), ( i ) of soil fertility (adjusting for back door path through dry season length) ( j ) of soil texture (no backdoor path to be blocked).
( a ) The sensitivity of forest response to soil texture (sand content) and water- table depth (HAND) in basin-wide GAM analysis. GAM-predicted adjusted EVI anomaly (left axis) versus soil sand content (%), with water table-depth in colour (shallow=blue to deep=red), paired with distributions of mean forest height in each soil texture bin (bottom graph, right axis, with N = 3,318, and 1,142 0.4° pixels for shallow and deep water tables, respectively). ‘Adjusted’ GAM predictions are made by setting non-displayed predictors (climate variables, tree-height, soil fertility) to their median values during the drought. (b)-(d): The sensitivity of forest responses to dry versus wet season drought periods, across the three-droughts: ( b ) distribution of the proportion of drought that was in the dry season (0 = all in the wet season to 1= all in the dry season) for drought-affected pixels in each of the three droughts; ( c ) GAM-predicted EVI anomaly versus PAR, for different proportions of dry season drought (blue=all wet to red=all dry, corresponding to coloured tick marks in the vertical axis of b). ( d ) Adjusted EVI anomaly from GAM prediction versus drought length, for different proportions of dry-season drought (blue to red, as in panel c).
( a ) At 0.4 degree (40-km) scale (across the Southern Amazon. all three droughts): Climate-adjusted EVI responses (standardized anomalies from MODIS) vs. water-table depths (indexed by HAND) for observations (solid points ±95% CI and solid regression line) and for unified multi-drought GAM predictions (model of Supplementary Table 1a , shaded bands and dashed regression line slopes) for the 2005 (green, slope = −0.019 ± 0.001 SE m −1 ), 2010 (purple, slope = −0.020 ± 0.002 SE m −1 ), and 2015 (blue, slope = −0.028 ± 0.002 SE m −1 ) droughts (with N = 1,384, 1,673, and 1,837 0.4° pixels for 2005, 2010, and 2015 droughts, respectively); ( b ) At 1-km scale (across the Southern Amazon, all three droughts), as in (a): climate-adjusted EVI responses vs. HAND for observations (solid points and regression line) and corresponding GAM (with the same Supplementary Table 1a model now fit at 1 km scale, revealing autocorrelation in observations causing too-narrow confidence bands, and slight model underpredictions of the extremes of the 2005 greenup and the 2010 browdown, but maintaining the similar negative dependence on HAND across all droughts); ( c ) At 30 to 180 m scales (for a forest region around Manaus, 2015-2016 drought only): Delta EVI, the fraction change in EVI due to the drought = (after-drought EVI (July 2016) - pre-drought EVI (August 2015))/pre-drought EVI (Landsat OLI8, at 30 m resolution) vs. water-table depths (indexed by HAND) for Landsat observations (solid points ±95% CI and solid regression line) at native (30 m) and aggregated to 90 and 180-m scales (with N = 105,359, 11,901, and 2,999 pixels for 30-m, 90-m, and 180-m scales, respectively). Also shown in the bottom of each panel is the distribution of water-table depth (HAND proxy) at each scale. Aggregations to larger (coarser) scales induce an apparent regression towards the mean in the water-table depth distributions (as more extreme water-table depths at finer scales become diluted by averaging to large scales), while similar dilution of extremes in EVI response (not shown) preserves the overall relation between EVI responses and watertable depth (especially evident in the Landsat analysis where the slopes through data aggregated at different scales do not detectably differ).
( a ) Remotely sensed map of MAIAC EVI (1-km resolution), overlaid with aboveground NPP (ANPP) rates from 321 ground-monitored forest plots (red circles, % standing biomass y −1 ) as aggregated to 1 degree grid plots (RAINFOR plots in Brienen et al. 2 ), with both EVI and ANPP taken during the 2000–2011 interval. ANPP rate is calculated as Aboveground Biomass (AGB) gain (Mg/(ha·yr)) (total annual AGB productivity of surviving trees plus recruitment, plus inferred growth of trees that died between censusing intervals) divided by initial AGB (Mg/ha) (standing above ground biomass at the start of the census interval). ( b ) ANPP rates as predicted by EVI (points from (a) plus solid regression line with statistics; Dashed line and associated statistics in grey represent linear regression without the high leverage point, shown in red, defined by Cook’s distances > 4/n, where n=number of points 134 ). EVI is the mean extracted from intervals matching the average census interval of the corresponding plots in Brienen et al. 2 (c)–(e) MAIAC EVI anomalies (1-km pixels) versus ground-monitored tree demography in shallow water table forests during the 2015-2016 drought 26 for : (c) mortality, (d) recruitment, and (e) mortality:recruitment ratios in 1-ha plots. (f)–(h): GOSIF anomalies (5-km pixels) versus ground-monitored (f) mortality, (g) recruitment, and (h) mortality:recruitment ratios; Solid lines and statistics (R 2 and p-values) represent standard linear regression fits to all data. Red points, if they exist, are high leverage, i.e. with Cook’s distances > 4/n, where n=number of points 134 , and dotted lines and associated statistics in grey represent standard linear regressions without such points, showing that remote detection of ground-derived demographic trends is robust. R 2 values reported here are consistent with the expectation that they should be less than for remote detection of tropical forest GPP (R 2 = 0.5-0.7), because GPP contributes only partially to the NPP driver of demography (as discussed in the 'Validation by forest plot metrics of demography and of physiological drought tolerance' section of Methods). Considering multple comparisons (six regressions), the probability, under the null hypothesis, of seeing five or more significant regresssions out of six is p = 0.000002 (Binomial test).
a – c , Forest response to the 2015 drought in drought-affected pixels. ( a ) Observed EVI anomalies (resampled at 0.4 degrees to match model resolution which accounts for spatial autocorrelation (see Supplementary Fig. 1 ). ( b ) GAM-predicted EVI anomalies (model of Supplementary Table 1d ). ( c ) Residual EVI anomalies (panel a observations minus panel b predictions). The GAM well-predicts the pattern of response (Panel b), but under-estimates the extremes of the responses (as evident from residuals in panel c continuing to show greening/browning patterns beyond the predictions). ( d ) Map of Amazon forest biogeography of resilience/vulnerability, overlaid with mean winds (arrows, at height 650 hPa) and location of the arc of deforestation . The most productive as well as the most vulnerable forests (in red) are also those most experiencing deforestation (in the “arc of deforestation”) which is causing local climatic warming/drying 4 , further stressing these vulnerable forests. These “arc of deforestation”/vulnerable forests are often upwind forests 135 (especially when the Intertropical convergence zone, ITCZ, swings to the south) that are critical for hydrological recycling in the Amazon.
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Chen, S., Stark, S.C., Nobre, A.D. et al. Amazon forest biogeography predicts resilience and vulnerability to drought. Nature (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-07568-w
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Considering the impacts of climate change in recent decades that have exacerbated the frequency and intensity of floods worldwide and especially in the Amazon region. The city of Rio Branco, located in the southwest of Brazil's Amazon region, has been severely affected by a combination of urbanization in flood-prone areas and increasing floods in the Acre River. In addressing this challenge, accurate inundation mapping plays a pivotal role in shaping effective flood risk reduction strategies. This study employs hydraulic simulations of the Acre River, utilizing the HEC-RAS 1D model. The modeling process integrates a high-resolution digital terrain model, acquired through Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR), and a rich dataset encompassing conventional and unconventional information from the three most significant historical floods in Rio Branco in 2012, 2015, and 2023. To ensure the precision of the simulations, calibration of the roughness coefficient was conducted for steady-state scenarios, drawing upon a diverse range of observed stream-gauge data. The evaluation of water elevation in steady state reveals an impressive mean error of just 0.01 m, underscoring the model's accuracy. Moving beyond steady-state simulations, the study evaluates unsteady-state scenarios by calculating the root mean square error (RMSE). Results showcase commendable accuracies of 0.22, 0.25, and 0.26 m for the 2012, 2015, and 2023 floods, respectively. Flooding extent simulation was assessed using the Critical Success Index (C) from two optical aerial survey images recorded during the 2012 and 2015 floods and one optical satellite image recorded during the 2023 flood. The accuracy was 0.88 (2012) and 0.84 (2015) for optical aerial survey images and 0.97 for the optical satellite image (2023). Images from Google Street View recorded after 2012 flood event containing high-water marks were used to evaluate the accuracy of maximum water depth simulation along the floodplain and presented a mean error of 0.17 m.
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The Amazon Basin is located in South America. Case Studies linked to Amazon Basin [] no linked case studies, yet Articles linked to Amazon Basin []
We restricted the study area to the Amazon Basin, using a refined boundary of the Amazon 6 based on terrestrial ecoregions of the world 51, and only considered fires in areas that were forested ...
A scaling approach to Budyko's framework and the complementary relationship of evapotranspiration in humid environments: case study of the Amazon River basin A. M. Carmona , G. Poveda , M. Sivapalan , S. M. Vallejo-Bernal , and E. Bustamante
Conflict history. By the early 1970s, approximately 43,000 agricultural colonists from the highlands had moved to the Ecuadorian Amazon Basin, also known as the Oriente, in a state-led effort to integrate the Oriente through settlement. Most migrants settled in Morona Santiago and Zamora Chinchipe in the southern region, where direct routes to ...
Assessing the impact of hydrodynamics on large-scale flood wave propagation - a case study for the Amazon Basin . Jannis M. Hoch, Arjen V. Haag, Arthur van Dam, Hessel C. Winsemius, Ludovicus P. H. van Beek, and Marc F. P. Bierkens. ... (FM) for the Amazon River basin at a grid-by-grid basis and at a daily time step. The use of a flexible ...
The proposed study follows the water budget method similar to a previous study (Swann & Koven, 2017), but focuses on a different topic, quantification of R in the Amazon basin. Utilizing the newer generation of GRACE solutions is expected to improve quantification of basin-scale TWS changes as well.
Three 'once in a century' droughts (Extended Data Fig. 1a-c) occurred in the Amazon basin over a single decade—in 2005, 2010 and 2015-2016 20,21 —provoking multiple forest responses ...
The city of Rio Branco, located in the southwest of Brazil's Amazon region, has been severely affected by a combination of urbanization in flood-prone areas and increasing floods in the Acre River. ... Inundation mapping using hydraulic modeling with high-resolution remote sensed data: a case study in the Acre River Basin, Brazil Antunes da ...